核心逻辑
这是一个综合性的**超跌反弹抄底指标**,通过多重技术指标组合来判断股价是否已经超跌并可能发生反弹。主要逻辑包括: 1. **控盘筹码分析**:利用WINNER函数计算获利盘比例,分析市场持仓成本 2. **超卖判断**:结合威廉指标(WR1/2/3)和乖离率(BIAS1/2/3)判断股价是否处于超卖状态 3. **底部信号识别**:通过"神奇线"(一种变异的价格偏离度指标)识别长期超跌的股票 4. **套牢盘分析**:计算不同价位(10%、20%、50%)的套牢盘比例,判断抛压是否充分释放 整体思路是寻找严重超跌、套牢盘巨大、但开始出现止跌迹象的股票,等待反弹机会。
买卖信号
**买入信号:** - **天下无敌**:神奇线连续30日内少于3次上涨、10日内少于0.5次跌破10%、且神奇线创10日新低,同时股价上涨时触发,是强烈买入信号 - **绝对底**:快到底指标>0且"上帝"指标(天使与魔鬼的差值)上穿0时触发 - **绝对底部**:短套>90%且中套>75%且高套>30%时触发,表示套牢盘极重可能产生反弹 - **稳赚**:满足特定神奇线条件时触发 **辅助信号:** - V满仓、V半仓:仓位提示信号 - 底初选股:快到底指标从负转正时触发
用法
1. **主要用途**:用于捕捉严重超跌股票的反弹机会,属于左侧交易策略 2. **信号确认**: - 当出现"天下无敌"信号时,是较强的买入提示 - 当"绝对底"信号出现时,配合抄底文字提示,可考虑分批建仓 - "绝对底部"信号表示个股处于极端超跌状态 3. **注意事项**: - 该指标偏左侧交易,需要承受一定风险 - 建议结合大盘走势和其他技术指标综合判断 - 可设置止损位,因为左侧交易可能继续下跌 - 适用于震荡市或熊市末端,牛市中可能频繁失效
公式源码
控盘筹码:-(0.1-WINNER(C/1.1))*100,STICK,COLORLIBLUE,LINETHICK4; STICKLINE(100,0,-15,5,0),COLORBLACK; LGL:=IF(EMA(C,5)/EMA(EMA(C,9),16)<=0.85 AND C/REF(C,1)>0.905 AND C/REF(C,1)<1.05 AND vol/CAPITAL*100<5,50,0); wr1:=-100*(HHV(HIGH,34)-CLOSE)/(HHV(HIGH,34)-LLV(LOW,34))+100; WR2:=-100*(HHV(HIGH,50)-CLOSE)/(HHV(HIGH,50)-LLV(LOW,50))+100; WR3:=-100*(HHV(HIGH,70)-CLOSE)/(HHV(HIGH,70)-LLV(LOW,70))+100; bias1 := ((CLOSE-MA(CLOSE,34))/MA(CLOSE,34)*100+10)*5; BIAS2 := ((CLOSE-MA(CLOSE,50))/MA(CLOSE,50)*100+10)*5; BIAS3 := ((CLOSE-MA(CLOSE,70))/MA(CLOSE,70)*100+10)*5; S1:=(WR1+WR2+WR3+BIAS1+BIAS2+BIAS3)/6; S2:=EMA(S1,3); S3:=Abs(BIAS1-BIAS3); SX:=(S1+S3)/2; XC1:=(-1)*(EMA(100*(1-WINNER(CLOSE)),1)-50)+50; CCC:=XC1+SX; ZJZ:=IF( LGL>0 AND CCC<0,200,0); LXL:=IF(SX<0 AND C=LLV(C,5) AND C/REF(C,1)>0.905 AND C/REF(C,1)<1.05 AND VOL/CAPITAL*100<5,-50,0); JBJ:=IF(CCC<0 AND LXL=-50,100,0); MA3:= MA(C,3); C0:=REF(C,2)*0.865; C1:=REF(C,13)*0.772; BOT:=MIN(C0,C1); HSL:=100*VOL/CAPITAL; MA13:=MA(C,13); CXC:=IF((C-BOT)/C<3/100 AND SUM(HSL,5)/5<1.8,1,0); VMC:=IF(CXC>0 AND (LXL<0 OR LGL>0),100,0); V满仓:=VMC; V半仓A:=IF(((ZJZ>0 AND JBJ>0 AND SUM(VOL/CAPITAL*100,5)/5<1) OR (CXC>0 AND REF(C,1)/REF(C,2)>0.902)) OR (((ZJZ>0 AND JBJ>0 AND SUM(VOL/CAPITAL*100,5)/5<1) OR CXC>0) AND (LXL<0 OR LGL>0)) AND VMC<10 ,50,0) ; V93:=(((ZJZ>0 AND JBJ>0 AND SUM(VOL/CAPITAL*100,5)/5<1) OR CXC>0) AND (LXL<0 OR LGL>0)) ; V90:=((ZJZ>0 AND JBJ>0 AND SUM(VOL/CAPITAL*100,5)/5<1) OR (CXC>0 AND REF(C,1)/REF(C,2)>0.902)); V半仓:=V93 OR V90; XMM87:=V满仓 OR V半仓; XMM91:=VMC; G:=MA(CLOSE,80)-MA(CLOSE,10)/3; VAR2Q:=(MA(CLOSE,80)-MA(CLOSE,13)/3); 神奇线:=MA((CLOSE-VAR2Q)/VAR2Q,1),COLORRED,LINETHICK2; 稳赚:IF(COUNT(神奇线>REF(神奇线,1),30)<3 AND COUNT(神奇线<10,10)<0.5 AND REF(神奇线,3)=LLV(神奇线,10),10,0); 天下无敌: IF(REF(神奇线,2)=LLV(神奇线,20) AND REF(神奇线,2)<0.071 AND REF(神奇线,2)<REF(神奇线,1) AND NOT(REF(LOW,1)>REF(HIGH,2) AND LOW>REF(HIGH,1)) AND CLOSE>REF(CLOSE,1),2,0)*20; STICKLINE(天下无敌,0,30,12,0),COLOR0000FF; STICKLINE(天下无敌,30,60,10,0),COLORWHITE; STICKLINE(天下无敌,60,80,6,0),COLORYELLOW; DRAWTEXT(天下无敌,40,'买'),COLORFF00FF; VAR111:=(MA(CLOSE,80)-MA(CLOSE,13)/3); VAR211:=( MA((CLOSE-VAR111)/VAR111,1)); MMA:=EMA(VAR211,12)*0.7; MMB:=EMA(VAR211,3); 快到底:IF(LLV(MMB-MMA,12)>0,0,30),LINETHICK2,COLORBLUE; 底初选股:IF( crOSS(0, LLV(MMB-MMA,12)),10,0),LINETHICK0; 天使:( EMA(CLOSE,12) - EMA(CLOSE,26))*100,COLORRED,NODRAW; 魔鬼: EMA(天使,9),COLORFFFFFF,LINETHICK1,NODRAW; 上帝:= 2*(天使-魔鬼); 绝对底:IF(快到底>0 AND CROSS(上帝,0),30,0),LINETHICK2,COLORMAGENTA; DRAWICON( 绝对底>0,35 ,1 ); STICKLINE(绝对底,0,30,2.7,0),COLORYELLOW; STICKLINE(绝对底,0,30,1.8,0),COLOR770077; STICKLINE(绝对底,0,30,0.9,0),COLORBB00BB; STICKLINE(绝对底,0,30,0.1,0),COLORYELLOW; DRAWTEXT(绝对底=30,35,'←抄底'),COLORCYAN; 短套:=EMA(100*(1-WINNER(1.10*C)),1); 中套:=EMA(100*(1-WINNER(1.2*C)),1); 高套:=EMA(100*(1-WINNER(1.5*C)),1); 绝对底部:短套>90 AND 中套>75 AND 高套>30,COLORGREEN,NODRAW; STICKLINE(绝对底部=1,10,20,5,0),COLORMAGENTA; DRAWTEXT(绝对底部=1,15,'★底'),COLORYELLOW;